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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.09+6.89vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+3.71vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+2.52vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+3.61vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.42+4.04vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91-1.11vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+3.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.69vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.38-2.19vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.40-2.43vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.82-1.73vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.43-1.96vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.95-3.63vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.57-2.99vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-5.14vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-4.05vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.91-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.8%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University2.095.9%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.758.8%1st Place
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6.52Stanford University2.5510.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.225.7%1st Place
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10.04SUNY Maritime College0.424.2%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.9112.7%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.6%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.8%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston2.387.3%1st Place
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8.57Boston College2.405.8%1st Place
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10.27George Washington University1.823.9%1st Place
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11.04Webb Institute1.433.2%1st Place
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10.37Florida State University1.953.5%1st Place
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12.01Old Dominion University1.572.8%1st Place
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10.86Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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12.95University of Wisconsin1.091.8%1st Place
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15.73North Carolina State University0.910.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Edward Cook | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 14.4% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.