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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+1.00vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.28-1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.46-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.35-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.32Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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1.89University of Washington2.280.4%1st Place
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3.78University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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4.7University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 37.3% | 35.1% | 19.0% | 7.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Austin Sandifer | 9.3% | 16.3% | 29.6% | 26.4% | 15.0% | 3.4% |
| Sam Parish | 43.1% | 33.0% | 17.5% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eliza Pearce | 7.0% | 8.8% | 21.0% | 32.7% | 23.2% | 7.3% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 2.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 18.8% | 35.9% | 29.6% |
| William Service | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 24.1% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.