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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.85+2.36vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21-0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.46+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.28-3.09vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.35-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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1.98Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.74University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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1.91University of Washington2.280.4%1st Place
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5.31University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.7University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Sandifer | 10.8% | 12.7% | 30.4% | 27.4% | 13.3% | 5.4% |
| Peter McGrath | 38.8% | 35.2% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 7.0% | 9.8% | 22.2% | 30.9% | 23.2% | 6.9% |
| Sam Parish | 39.9% | 37.8% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Service | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 21.7% | 60.2% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 2.3% | 3.0% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 39.0% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.