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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.82+9.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.31vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+5.82vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.09+5.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.53vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38+1.76vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.95+3.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22+0.63vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+1.90vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.77+5.08vs Predicted
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112.13-0.17vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.43-0.77vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.55-6.25vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.91-8.11vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.57-3.20vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.09-2.81vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.42-7.26vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.75-11.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1George Washington University1.824.3%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.0%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.405.9%1st Place
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9.12Georgetown University2.094.9%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.7%1st Place
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7.76College of Charleston2.387.7%1st Place
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10.41Florida State University1.953.1%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University2.225.8%1st Place
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10.9Boston University1.653.0%1st Place
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15.08North Carolina State University0.771.1%1st Place
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10.832.134.5%1st Place
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11.23Webb Institute1.432.9%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University2.558.6%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.9112.6%1st Place
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11.8Old Dominion University1.572.7%1st Place
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13.19University of Wisconsin1.091.6%1st Place
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9.74SUNY Maritime College0.424.8%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.758.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Edward Cook | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 41.4% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.