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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+6.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.31vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.83vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.43+6.27vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+4.94vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.77+7.88vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55-1.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-0.53vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.09-1.00vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.42-1.04vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.82-1.66vs Predicted
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132.13-1.92vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.40-5.21vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.75-8.17vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.95-5.51vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.57-5.29vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84College of Charleston2.386.6%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.6%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.7%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.9112.6%1st Place
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11.27Webb Institute1.432.8%1st Place
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10.94Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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14.88North Carolina State University0.771.1%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University2.559.4%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University2.225.6%1st Place
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9.0Georgetown University2.095.1%1st Place
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9.96SUNY Maritime College0.424.5%1st Place
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10.34George Washington University1.824.3%1st Place
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11.082.133.5%1st Place
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8.79Boston College2.405.7%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College2.759.4%1st Place
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10.49Florida State University1.954.0%1st Place
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11.71Old Dominion University1.573.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Wisconsin1.091.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 40.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Edward Cook | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.