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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.19+0.89vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21-0.17vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.85+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.63+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.35-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Washington2.190.4%1st Place
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1.83Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.08Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
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4.47University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Forcade | 39.0% | 38.9% | 17.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 44.8% | 32.7% | 17.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 11.5% | 15.3% | 38.4% | 25.4% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Thomas | 1.7% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 23.5% | 31.5% | 29.6% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 1.8% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 27.0% | 31.2% | 22.2% |
| William Service | 1.2% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 15.7% | 28.1% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.