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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+6.64vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.43vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+6.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+0.83vs Predicted
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62.13+5.11vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55-0.24vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+3.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.62vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.43+1.09vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.77+3.73vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.42-1.82vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.95-2.56vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-3.03vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.09-6.13vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.38-7.92vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-3.83vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.22-9.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Dartmouth College2.759.8%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.405.2%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.578.0%1st Place
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10.18George Washington University1.824.6%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.9111.2%1st Place
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11.112.132.8%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University2.559.6%1st Place
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11.62Old Dominion University1.592.8%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.4%1st Place
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11.09Webb Institute1.433.4%1st Place
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14.73North Carolina State University0.771.0%1st Place
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10.18SUNY Maritime College0.424.0%1st Place
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10.44Florida State University1.953.7%1st Place
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10.97Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University2.096.0%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston2.387.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Wisconsin1.092.3%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University2.226.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Michaela O'Brien | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Owen Hennessey | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Tyler Wood | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
Liam O'Keefe | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Dana Haig | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
Wiley Rogers | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Andrew Ciszewski | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
Colman Schofield | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Payne Donaldson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
Harrison Bailey | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 41.6% |
Nick Chisari | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
Edward Cook | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Benjamin Dufour | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Abe Weston | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% |
Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.