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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.19+0.89vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21-0.17vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.85-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.35-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.63-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Washington2.190.4%1st Place
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1.83Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.08Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.39University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Forcade | 38.8% | 39.6% | 16.5% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Peter McGrath | 44.7% | 32.5% | 18.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 11.6% | 15.3% | 37.6% | 25.4% | 8.8% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 2.6% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 29.3% | 31.3% | 19.3% |
| Jackson Thomas | 1.1% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 21.4% | 31.2% | 32.5% |
| William Service | 1.2% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 16.0% | 27.5% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.