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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+7.78vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+4.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.18vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+3.63vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38+1.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.41vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.82+1.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-2.43vs Predicted
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102.13+0.71vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.77+3.79vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.42-2.06vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.59-1.82vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.95-3.62vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.43-4.02vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.30-4.16vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.65-6.15vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Georgetown University2.095.5%1st Place
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6.61Stanford University2.5510.5%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.1%1st Place
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5.68Brown University2.9111.2%1st Place
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8.63Boston College2.405.6%1st Place
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7.68College of Charleston2.387.2%1st Place
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7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.6%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University1.825.1%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College2.7510.4%1st Place
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10.712.133.0%1st Place
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14.79North Carolina State University0.770.9%1st Place
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9.94SUNY Maritime College0.423.2%1st Place
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11.18Old Dominion University1.592.9%1st Place
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10.38Florida State University1.954.0%1st Place
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10.98Webb Institute1.433.9%1st Place
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11.84Tufts University1.303.3%1st Place
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10.85Boston University1.653.3%1st Place
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12.91University of Wisconsin1.092.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Harrison Bailey | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 38.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Abe Weston | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.