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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.19+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.63+2.66vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.35+1.35vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.21-3.17vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.85-2.79vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Washington2.190.4%1st Place
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4.66University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
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4.35University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
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1.83Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.21Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Forcade | 41.4% | 36.6% | 15.8% | 5.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Thomas | 2.0% | 3.4% | 11.0% | 23.1% | 30.9% | 29.6% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 4.0% | 4.8% | 12.2% | 28.3% | 32.7% | 18.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 42.0% | 37.0% | 17.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austin Sandifer | 9.1% | 16.3% | 36.7% | 24.1% | 10.5% | 3.3% |
| William Service | 1.5% | 1.9% | 6.9% | 15.9% | 24.8% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.