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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.83vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+4.67vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.09+6.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+4.78vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38+2.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+4.20vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.95+3.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.71vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+2.33vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59+1.57vs Predicted
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112.13-0.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-3.35vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.91-7.07vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.71-3.26vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.54vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.09-2.96vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.77-1.97vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.42-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Dartmouth College2.759.4%1st Place
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6.67Stanford University2.559.7%1st Place
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9.06Georgetown University2.095.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston College2.405.2%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston2.387.3%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University1.824.1%1st Place
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10.5Florida State University1.953.4%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.7%1st Place
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11.33Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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11.57Old Dominion University1.592.2%1st Place
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10.982.132.8%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.226.2%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.9111.9%1st Place
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10.74Webb Institute1.713.6%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.4%1st Place
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13.04University of Wisconsin1.091.7%1st Place
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15.03North Carolina State University0.771.1%1st Place
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10.03SUNY Maritime College0.425.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Edward Cook | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
| Dana Haig | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Abe Weston | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 16.7% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 43.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.