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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.19+0.91vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21-0.18vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.35+1.34vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.85-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.63-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Washington2.190.4%1st Place
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1.82Western Washington University2.210.5%1st Place
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4.34University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.11Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Forcade | 38.4% | 38.6% | 17.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 45.2% | 33.4% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 3.9% | 5.0% | 12.1% | 29.1% | 31.8% | 18.1% |
| Austin Sandifer | 9.5% | 16.4% | 40.1% | 23.6% | 8.4% | 2.0% |
| Jackson Thomas | 1.3% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 22.3% | 31.2% | 32.2% |
| William Service | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 16.8% | 26.5% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.