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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.13+9.68vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.82+8.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.93vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.09+5.12vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.42+5.26vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38+1.84vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.70vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.71+1.90vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-3.29vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-4.35vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.77+2.87vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.95-2.38vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.22-5.38vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-3.45vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.40-7.36vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-3.95vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.59-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.682.134.9%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University1.823.5%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.9111.9%1st Place
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9.12Georgetown University2.095.0%1st Place
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10.26SUNY Maritime College0.423.6%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston2.386.3%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.578.4%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.3%1st Place
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10.9Webb Institute1.713.3%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University2.559.2%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.7510.4%1st Place
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14.87North Carolina State University0.771.0%1st Place
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10.62Florida State University1.953.4%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.225.5%1st Place
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11.55Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.405.5%1st Place
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13.05University of Wisconsin1.092.3%1st Place
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11.64Old Dominion University1.592.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Cook | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 41.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Abe Weston | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 17.1% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.