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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+4.84vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+7.97vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+7.90vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+6.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40+2.82vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.82+3.17vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-2.20vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-2.31vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-1.46vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.38-3.05vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.95-1.63vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.53vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.42-4.03vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.09-6.01vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.71-5.38vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.77-2.21vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.6%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College2.7510.5%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.4%1st Place
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11.9Old Dominion University1.572.9%1st Place
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11.54Boston University1.392.7%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.406.0%1st Place
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10.17George Washington University1.824.6%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.9110.8%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University2.559.6%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.225.9%1st Place
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7.95College of Charleston2.386.8%1st Place
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10.37Florida State University1.954.2%1st Place
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.1%1st Place
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9.97SUNY Maritime College0.424.2%1st Place
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8.99Georgetown University2.095.3%1st Place
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10.62Webb Institute1.713.4%1st Place
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14.79North Carolina State University0.771.1%1st Place
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13.22University of Wisconsin1.091.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Edward Cook | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 40.8% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.