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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+6.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+3.01vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego2.89+0.23vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-1.24vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.17-1.13vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.31vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.69-2.84vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley2.12-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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3.32Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.01University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.23University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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4.76California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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6.33Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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8.16California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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8.16California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 24.0% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 19.7% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.