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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.35vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.38vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+3.75vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.09+5.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+5.88vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+4.02vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.42+2.95vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55-1.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.91-3.03vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-1.46vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39+0.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-3.57vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.95-2.42vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.57-2.06vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.38-6.97vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.77-1.14vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.71-6.21vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.3%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.4%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.7510.2%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University2.094.9%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.5%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University1.823.9%1st Place
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9.95SUNY Maritime College0.423.9%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University2.559.7%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.9111.8%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.406.5%1st Place
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11.46Boston University1.392.8%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University2.225.7%1st Place
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10.58Florida State University1.953.5%1st Place
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11.94Old Dominion University1.572.9%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston2.386.9%1st Place
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14.86North Carolina State University0.770.8%1st Place
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10.79Webb Institute1.713.6%1st Place
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13.24University of Wisconsin1.091.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Edward Cook | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Bailey | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 39.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.