← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.72+2.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.64+3.81vs Predicted
-
3California State University Monterey Bay1.69+5.24vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.25vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii3.68-2.49vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley2.12-0.07vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-3.40vs Predicted
-
9Santa Clara University2.36-2.41vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine2.17-3.10vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay1.69-2.76vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego2.89-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
-
5.81University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.24California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
-
7.76University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
-
3.51University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
-
6.93University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
4.6California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
-
6.59Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
-
6.9University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
-
8.24California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.0University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 21.6% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 21.2% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 12.5% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.