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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.67vs Predicted
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22.13+8.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+7.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+4.70vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.62vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+4.08vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.95+3.46vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55-1.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.78vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.57+1.79vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.91-5.27vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.09-2.85vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.42-2.91vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.38-6.04vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.71-4.32vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.22-7.47vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-3.97vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.91-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Dartmouth College2.759.3%1st Place
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10.932.133.6%1st Place
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10.9Boston University1.653.3%1st Place
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8.7Boston College2.406.2%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.6%1st Place
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10.08George Washington University1.824.3%1st Place
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10.46Florida State University1.953.4%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University2.557.5%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.8%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University1.573.2%1st Place
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5.73Brown University2.9112.6%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University2.094.5%1st Place
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10.09SUNY Maritime College0.424.5%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston2.387.7%1st Place
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10.68Webb Institute1.713.1%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University2.225.9%1st Place
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13.03University of Wisconsin1.091.6%1st Place
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15.53North Carolina State University0.910.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 7.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 14.3% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.