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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+5.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+5.00vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.99vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.63+4.78vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.10+1.72vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.34+0.24vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.61+1.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.27vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-2.50vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-3.11vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.92-6.88vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College4.15-5.25vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.71-4.40vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.48-1.31vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.56-6.00vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.57-1.48vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.53-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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7.72University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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9.83Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.75SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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13.69Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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15.52Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.21Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Leighton | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Vann | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Halsey Richartz | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Hall | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Gary Herring | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 26.2% | 23.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 60.1% |
| Carl Shorett | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.