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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.63vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+3.53vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+4.37vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.09+3.78vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.95+4.15vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.71+3.55vs Predicted
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82.13+2.62vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82+0.86vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.91-4.31vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.42-1.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-0.24vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-2.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.89vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.57-3.18vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.38-8.07vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-4.23vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.91-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Dartmouth College2.759.4%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.8%1st Place
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6.53Stanford University2.559.3%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.406.5%1st Place
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8.78Georgetown University2.095.1%1st Place
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10.15Florida State University1.953.9%1st Place
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10.55Webb Institute1.713.2%1st Place
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10.622.134.0%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University1.824.8%1st Place
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5.69Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
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9.87SUNY Maritime College0.424.8%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University1.302.4%1st Place
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10.55Boston University1.653.2%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.2%1st Place
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11.82Old Dominion University1.572.9%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston2.386.6%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin1.091.9%1st Place
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15.68North Carolina State University0.910.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Edward Cook | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.