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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley2.12+5.12vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+1.99vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-0.26vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego2.89-1.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.17-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-3.01vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.69-3.08vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.69-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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3.45Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.99University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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6.57Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.01University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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7.92California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.92California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 20.7% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 20.3% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 13.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.