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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.18vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+5.67vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+3.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+7.73vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+3.46vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.95+4.10vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91-1.15vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+3.54vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.09-0.27vs Predicted
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102.13+0.77vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.42-1.23vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.71-1.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.09-1.07vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.75-8.31vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.82-5.98vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-10.68vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.91-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.1%1st Place
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7.67College of Charleston2.387.7%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University2.5510.4%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University1.302.9%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.405.9%1st Place
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10.1Florida State University1.953.8%1st Place
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5.85Brown University2.9111.8%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University1.573.6%1st Place
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8.73Georgetown University2.095.5%1st Place
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10.772.133.5%1st Place
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9.77SUNY Maritime College0.424.5%1st Place
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10.42Webb Institute1.713.6%1st Place
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10.66Boston University1.653.1%1st Place
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12.93University of Wisconsin1.091.7%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.759.8%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University1.823.4%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.7%1st Place
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15.55North Carolina State University0.910.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% |
| Edward Cook | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Abe Weston | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 13.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.