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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+4.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.20vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+4.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64-0.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.17-0.21vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-3.38vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.36-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley2.12-3.00vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.69-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.68-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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3.33Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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8.27California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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4.62California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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6.56Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.27California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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3.31University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 23.4% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 23.0% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.