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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+6.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.89+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68-0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83+0.59vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.17-1.91vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University2.36-3.65vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.69-3.02vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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3.35Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.37University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.87University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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7.98California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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6.35Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.98California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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4.54California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 22.7% | 21.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 20.7% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 12.4% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.