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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+4.73vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+4.64vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.95+6.19vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+1.55vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+3.76vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40+1.56vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.09+0.72vs Predicted
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92.13+1.65vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.91-4.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.87vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.71-1.55vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.42-3.25vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.57-2.01vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.09-2.00vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.30-4.29vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.65-6.32vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.91-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.5%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.758.3%1st Place
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7.64College of Charleston2.387.8%1st Place
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10.19Florida State University1.954.2%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University2.559.8%1st Place
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9.76George Washington University1.824.8%1st Place
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8.56Boston College2.405.3%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University2.095.1%1st Place
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10.652.133.5%1st Place
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5.51Brown University2.9112.8%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.8%1st Place
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10.45Webb Institute1.713.8%1st Place
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9.75SUNY Maritime College0.424.0%1st Place
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11.99Old Dominion University1.572.4%1st Place
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13.0University of Wisconsin1.091.9%1st Place
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11.71Tufts University1.302.3%1st Place
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10.68Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
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15.67North Carolina State University0.910.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Edward Cook | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 13.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.