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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.82+8.29vs Predicted
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32.13+7.78vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.42+6.15vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+1.74vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75+0.77vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40+1.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.87vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.63vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+1.03vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59+0.45vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.95-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.09+0.16vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.26-1.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-3.09vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.09-6.93vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.71-6.30vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.38-10.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Brown University2.9111.4%1st Place
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10.29George Washington University1.824.0%1st Place
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10.782.133.5%1st Place
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10.15SUNY Maritime College0.423.5%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University2.559.3%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College2.759.2%1st Place
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8.41Boston College2.406.5%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.9%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.6%1st Place
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11.03Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
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11.45Old Dominion University1.592.8%1st Place
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10.46Florida State University1.954.2%1st Place
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13.16University of Wisconsin1.092.2%1st Place
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12.78North Carolina State University1.262.1%1st Place
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11.91Tufts University1.302.5%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.095.2%1st Place
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10.7Webb Institute1.714.0%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston2.386.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Abe Weston | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 23.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 18.2% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
| Edward Cook | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.