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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.89+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.25vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.69+3.08vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.12-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.64-3.13vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-5.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine2.17-4.17vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.69-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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3.42University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.39University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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8.08California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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6.57Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.6California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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8.08California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 20.6% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.7% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 12.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.