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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.75vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+8.91vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.43vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+2.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.27vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+4.30vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.42+3.00vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38-0.18vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.71+1.71vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-1.44vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.95-0.55vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.91-6.16vs Predicted
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132.13-2.18vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.59-2.50vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.26-2.27vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.30-4.15vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.09-7.70vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.09-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Dartmouth College2.759.2%1st Place
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10.91Boston University1.653.8%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.2%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University2.559.7%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.7%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University1.823.4%1st Place
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10.0SUNY Maritime College0.423.8%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston2.387.2%1st Place
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10.71Webb Institute1.713.5%1st Place
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8.56Boston College2.406.6%1st Place
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10.45Florida State University1.953.4%1st Place
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5.84Brown University2.9113.4%1st Place
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10.822.133.2%1st Place
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11.5Old Dominion University1.593.4%1st Place
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12.73North Carolina State University1.262.1%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University1.302.1%1st Place
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9.3Georgetown University2.094.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Wisconsin1.091.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% |
| Edward Cook | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.