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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+1.43vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.36+3.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.17+1.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego2.89-1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64-2.30vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.88vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-5.38vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.69-2.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.83-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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6.68Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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5.03University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.12California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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4.62California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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8.12California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 20.1% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 23.1% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.