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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+4.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.83+5.79vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+0.44vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.36+2.72vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.17-0.22vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.01vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.99vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.68-6.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-4.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley2.12-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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3.44Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.72Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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8.01California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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8.01California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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3.47University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 21.4% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 13.6% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 21.4% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.