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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+6.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+1.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.67+3.10vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+4.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+1.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+0.34vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.77+1.27vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49-1.60vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.25-0.97vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.43-0.70vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.73-2.45vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.72-5.81vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.70-1.11vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.97-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Brown University1.335.7%1st Place
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3.44Roger Williams University2.6823.5%1st Place
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6.1Tufts University1.679.6%1st Place
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8.28Salve Regina University1.314.8%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College1.718.5%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University1.948.9%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island1.426.6%1st Place
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9.27Northeastern University0.773.4%1st Place
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7.4Northwestern University1.496.2%1st Place
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9.03Yale University1.254.2%1st Place
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10.3Connecticut College0.433.1%1st Place
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9.55Fairfield University0.733.7%1st Place
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7.19Brown University1.726.8%1st Place
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12.89Salve Regina University-0.700.9%1st Place
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9.06Boston University0.974.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 23.5% | 21.9% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| bella casaretto | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 5.9% |
| Shea Smith | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 11.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 49.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.