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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+6.59vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+1.48vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.71+3.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.67+2.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.25+4.06vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.49+1.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.72+0.43vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.77+1.49vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.43+1.23vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.73-0.41vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-2.63vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.94-6.25vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-5.59vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-5.06vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.70-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Brown University1.335.8%1st Place
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3.48Roger Williams University2.6824.8%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College1.717.1%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University1.6710.1%1st Place
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9.06Yale University1.253.6%1st Place
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7.36Northwestern University1.495.9%1st Place
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7.43Brown University1.726.5%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University0.773.2%1st Place
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10.23Connecticut College0.432.6%1st Place
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9.59Fairfield University0.732.9%1st Place
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8.37Salve Regina University1.315.0%1st Place
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5.75Roger Williams University1.9410.8%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island1.426.4%1st Place
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8.94Boston University0.974.0%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University-0.701.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 24.8% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| John Eastman | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Shea Smith | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Jed Bell | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 12.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.