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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+6.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+1.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.89+1.43vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.36+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.18vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.17-1.85vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-5.33vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.64-5.34vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.69-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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3.51University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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2.94Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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5.43University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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6.59Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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7.95California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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4.67California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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7.95California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 20.1% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 26.4% | 22.7% | 19.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 13.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.