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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+6.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.67+4.11vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.71+3.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68-0.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.25+4.04vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.97+2.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+0.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33-0.63vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94-3.03vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.72-2.72vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-2.75vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.77-2.55vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.73-3.49vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.43-3.64vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.70-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Northwestern University1.496.7%1st Place
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6.11Tufts University1.678.7%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College1.717.2%1st Place
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3.63Roger Williams University2.6823.2%1st Place
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9.04Yale University1.253.7%1st Place
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8.86Boston University0.974.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island1.426.9%1st Place
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7.37Brown University1.336.7%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University1.949.8%1st Place
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7.28Brown University1.727.1%1st Place
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8.25Salve Regina University1.315.1%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University0.773.5%1st Place
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9.51Fairfield University0.733.6%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College0.432.7%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University-0.701.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| John Eastman | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 23.2% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jed Bell | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 6.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 14.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.