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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+5.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.89+2.42vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+4.32vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-0.19vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.68-5.40vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine2.17-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.12-4.01vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.69-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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5.42University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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8.32California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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4.81California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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6.6Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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3.6University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.32California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 28.3% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 28.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 19.5% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 28.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.