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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+5.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.25+7.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.67+3.19vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68-0.44vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.72+2.42vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.97+2.89vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+1.21vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.43+2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42-1.75vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.49-2.58vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.33-3.56vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.94-6.07vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.77-3.54vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-4.46vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.70-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Dartmouth College1.718.3%1st Place
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9.36Yale University1.253.0%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University1.679.4%1st Place
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3.56Roger Williams University2.6822.8%1st Place
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7.42Brown University1.726.3%1st Place
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8.89Boston University0.974.5%1st Place
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8.21Salve Regina University1.315.1%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College0.432.6%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island1.427.3%1st Place
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7.42Northwestern University1.496.2%1st Place
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7.44Brown University1.336.8%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University1.949.8%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University0.773.5%1st Place
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9.54Fairfield University0.733.0%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University-0.701.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| John Eastman | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 22.8% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 13.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Shea Smith | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.