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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.89+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83+4.02vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05-2.15vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36+0.61vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-1.03vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.78vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-6.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine2.17-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.21University of California at San Diego2.890.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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2.85Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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6.61Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.96California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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7.96California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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4.72California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 18.1% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 29.9% | 21.5% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 11.7% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.