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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.19+2.79vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+3.15vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90-2.68vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.40+0.30vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.44-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-6.22vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.79University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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7.15California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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2.32Stanford University3.900.4%1st Place
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7.48Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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5.38California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.15California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.5% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 39.7% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 48.9% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.