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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.67+5.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+5.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+4.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+1.87vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+3.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-2.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.33+0.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-1.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.25-0.02vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.49-2.40vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.88-1.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.77-2.50vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.70-0.40vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-4.53vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.97-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Tufts University1.679.4%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island1.425.8%1st Place
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7.4Brown University1.726.9%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University1.949.4%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University1.314.2%1st Place
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3.55Roger Williams University2.6823.8%1st Place
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7.55Brown University1.336.8%1st Place
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6.59Dartmouth College1.718.2%1st Place
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8.98Yale University1.254.3%1st Place
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7.6Northwestern University1.496.1%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College0.883.6%1st Place
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9.5Northeastern University0.773.2%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University-0.701.1%1st Place
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9.47Fairfield University0.733.3%1st Place
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9.15Boston University0.973.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Jed Bell | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 23.8% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| bella casaretto | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Shea Smith | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 9.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 48.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.