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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.52+8.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.76+3.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+5.31vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.43+2.24vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+2.86vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59-0.41vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+0.70vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.35-1.61vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46+0.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-0.96vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-0.07vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.18-4.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-4.09vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.03vs Predicted
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15University of Saint Thomas-0.03-3.47vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.58-0.61vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Clemson University0.524.2%1st Place
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5.16Brown University1.7614.3%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.785.8%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University1.4310.1%1st Place
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7.86University of South Florida1.195.7%1st Place
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5.59Yale University1.5912.8%1st Place
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7.7Northeastern University1.187.4%1st Place
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6.39Boston College1.359.4%1st Place
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9.51Salve Regina University0.463.6%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.9%1st Place
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10.93The Citadel0.193.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University1.187.5%1st Place
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8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.5%1st Place
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12.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.5%1st Place
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11.53University of Saint Thomas-0.032.5%1st Place
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15.39Princeton University-1.580.6%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Adams | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| James Brock | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Flores | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 4.7% |
| Jack Crager | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 14.3% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 62.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.