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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.05vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+6.78vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida4.10+5.64vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.56+6.40vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.53+5.55vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.92-0.71vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.22vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.61+1.37vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71+0.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.34-3.48vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.34-4.24vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.33-5.68vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.95vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-7.67vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-4.80vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.57-0.58vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.48-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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10.4Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.55Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
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5.29Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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10.37Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.23Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.76College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.05SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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16.42Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.19Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Hall | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Carl Shorett | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Robert Vann | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tomas Hornos | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Leighton | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gary Herring | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 14.4% | 62.3% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 27.0% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.