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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.71+4.79vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+2.62vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.42+3.59vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.63+1.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.40+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-3.14vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-5.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego2.19-4.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.44-1.80vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Stanford University3.900.4%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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5.62California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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7.59Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.95California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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6.95California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 37.5% | 26.4% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 15.1% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.