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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.25+7.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+4.52vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+4.68vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.24+3.62vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.49+1.78vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.01+2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42-0.26vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.73+0.85vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.25-1.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.67-4.40vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.70+1.55vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.71-6.18vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.88-3.82vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.46-3.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.97-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Yale University1.255.5%1st Place
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6.52Brown University1.559.6%1st Place
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7.68Salve Regina University1.316.7%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University1.245.1%1st Place
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6.78Northwestern University1.498.6%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University1.015.5%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island1.429.2%1st Place
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8.85Fairfield University0.735.2%1st Place
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7.13Brown University1.257.5%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University1.6711.5%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University-0.701.5%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College1.7111.2%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College0.883.9%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University0.463.4%1st Place
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8.28Boston University0.975.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| William Bailey | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Shea Smith | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
| William George | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| John Eastman | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 48.4% |
| bella casaretto | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.