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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+1.35vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.63+4.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.19+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+1.75vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.63+0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-3.21vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.42-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.44+0.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.45vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-5.59vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.47-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Stanford University3.900.4%1st Place
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6.95California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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6.95California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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3.79University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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7.24Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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5.41California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 36.4% | 26.8% | 17.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 16.3% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.