← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.42+5.79vs Predicted
-
2Yale University1.25+6.71vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.73+5.93vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.25+3.13vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.31+2.67vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.67-0.55vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.01+1.40vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.55-1.37vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University1.49-2.35vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.24-2.57vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.71-5.11vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.97-3.66vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University-0.70-0.54vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.88-4.85vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University0.46-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.79University of Rhode Island1.427.8%1st Place
-
8.71Yale University1.255.5%1st Place
-
8.93Fairfield University0.735.1%1st Place
-
7.13Brown University1.257.5%1st Place
-
7.67Salve Regina University1.316.3%1st Place
-
5.45Tufts University1.6713.4%1st Place
-
8.4Roger Williams University1.015.0%1st Place
-
6.63Brown University1.558.1%1st Place
-
6.65Northwestern University1.498.2%1st Place
-
7.43Roger Williams University1.247.6%1st Place
-
5.89Dartmouth College1.7112.3%1st Place
-
8.34Boston University0.974.9%1st Place
-
12.46Salve Regina University-0.701.5%1st Place
-
9.15Connecticut College0.884.0%1st Place
-
10.35Northeastern University0.462.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
| William George | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| John Eastman | 13.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Shea Smith | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| William Bailey | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| bella casaretto | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 44.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.