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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+1.22vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.63+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.19+2.59vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+1.42vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+2.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.44+3.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04-4.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-2.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.52-4.21vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Stanford University3.900.4%1st Place
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6.75California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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5.42California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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7.21Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.75California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 39.6% | 27.0% | 17.1% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 47.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.9% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.2% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.