← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
John Eastman 13.7% 12.1% 9.8% 10.1% 9.8% 9.3% 7.5% 5.9% 5.4% 5.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Shea Smith 8.4% 7.1% 9.2% 8.7% 7.6% 7.4% 8.1% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 5.8% 5.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.6%
Wilson Kaznoski 4.4% 3.9% 5.5% 5.6% 5.5% 5.9% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.0% 8.2% 7.3% 9.2% 11.1% 6.5%
Nils Tullberg 6.1% 6.6% 6.3% 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.6% 7.4% 7.0% 6.8% 8.1% 7.8% 7.2% 5.9% 3.0%
Christophe Chaumont 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.3% 6.4% 6.9% 8.3% 6.6% 7.3% 6.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.2% 5.5%
Aidan Boni 3.3% 3.1% 4.2% 2.7% 3.5% 3.9% 5.0% 4.7% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 10.0% 9.7% 15.3% 15.2%
bella casaretto 10.8% 12.2% 10.2% 8.8% 10.2% 8.1% 8.3% 7.3% 6.2% 5.9% 4.7% 3.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4%
William George 7.6% 7.2% 7.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 6.6% 8.1% 7.1% 7.3% 6.3% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9%
William Bailey 7.5% 6.8% 8.0% 7.5% 7.5% 7.4% 6.0% 8.0% 8.0% 6.7% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 4.3% 2.6%
Emily Mueller 9.3% 9.3% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 7.3% 8.0% 6.6% 6.3% 4.7% 4.0% 1.9% 1.0%
Sean Crandall 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 5.7% 8.4% 14.8% 43.1%
Tyler Nash 8.3% 8.2% 8.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.8% 8.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.5% 6.2% 5.9% 3.9% 2.5% 1.6%
Ryan Mckinney 4.1% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 6.0% 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 8.9% 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 8.6%
Luke Hosek 5.5% 5.8% 5.1% 7.2% 6.3% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 6.7% 6.9% 8.0% 8.6% 7.8% 4.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.5% 6.9% 5.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 6.7% 8.6% 7.8% 7.4% 8.9% 8.6% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.