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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+6.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+3.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.25+5.68vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.97+4.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.67+0.35vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.01+2.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.55-0.51vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.24-0.55vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.46+1.33vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.49-3.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.25-3.86vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-5.16vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.73-3.98vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.88-4.72vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.70-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Salve Regina University1.316.5%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College1.7110.8%1st Place
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8.68Yale University1.255.7%1st Place
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8.5Boston University0.975.3%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University1.6712.9%1st Place
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8.32Roger Williams University1.015.9%1st Place
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6.49Brown University1.558.4%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University1.247.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University0.462.5%1st Place
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6.74Northwestern University1.499.7%1st Place
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7.14Brown University1.257.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island1.428.3%1st Place
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9.02Fairfield University0.734.3%1st Place
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9.28Connecticut College0.884.0%1st Place
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12.21Salve Regina University-0.701.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| bella casaretto | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| John Eastman | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.8% |
| Shea Smith | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| William George | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.