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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+5.32vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+4.37vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.72vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-3.48vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-3.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.40-1.67vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.63-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego2.19-5.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Stanford University3.900.4%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.37Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.92California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.39California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.92California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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5.38University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 37.0% | 27.4% | 17.8% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 19.0% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Louise Lehman | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 67.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.