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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.67+4.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+4.37vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.88+6.41vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+2.82vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.49+1.54vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71-0.19vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.70+5.34vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.46+2.53vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.01-0.79vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.25-2.84vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.97-2.51vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.73-3.09vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.24-5.45vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-6.35vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.25-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Tufts University1.6713.4%1st Place
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6.37Brown University1.559.1%1st Place
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9.41Connecticut College0.884.2%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island1.428.6%1st Place
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6.54Northwestern University1.499.5%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College1.7110.4%1st Place
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12.34Salve Regina University-0.701.5%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University0.463.1%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University1.015.9%1st Place
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7.16Brown University1.257.8%1st Place
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8.49Boston University0.974.7%1st Place
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8.91Fairfield University0.734.6%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University1.246.7%1st Place
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7.65Salve Regina University1.315.8%1st Place
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8.84Yale University1.254.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Shea Smith | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| bella casaretto | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 44.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| William George | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.