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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.35+6.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+0.21vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay1.63+3.91vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.91vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego2.19-0.53vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-3.32vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.42-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.40-3.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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2.21Stanford University3.900.4%1st Place
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6.91California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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6.91California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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3.75University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.47University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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5.36California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.09Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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7.17University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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10.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Weis | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 41.0% | 25.7% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.9% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Louise Lehman | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 68.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.