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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+1.63vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+4.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.40+1.30vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.86vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.63-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego2.19-3.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.30+0.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.35-3.76vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Stanford University3.900.4%1st Place
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3.63University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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7.35Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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5.14California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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6.65California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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5.56University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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10.04University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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6.65California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 39.3% | 25.2% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 16.2% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Louise Lehman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 68.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.