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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+1.27vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.63+4.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-0.26vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.40+1.33vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego2.19-3.42vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.47-5.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-1.01vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Stanford University3.900.4%1st Place
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6.76California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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7.19Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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5.16California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.76California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 38.3% | 27.4% | 16.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 15.4% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Louise Lehman | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 66.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.