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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+4.50vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.61+8.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.33+4.65vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+4.46vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.53+5.55vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+4.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.40vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.56+2.46vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.24vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.34-2.38vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.48+3.34vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-4.23vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-5.38vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida4.10-5.90vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.63-4.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-4.79vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.53vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.57-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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10.62Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.55Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.46Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.62College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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14.34Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.47SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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16.25Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Carl Shorett | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Robert Vann | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 26.3% | 21.3% |
| Joshua Leighton | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 14.9% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.