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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+4.26vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+5.69vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.35+3.31vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19+3.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+3.81vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.18+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.12+3.91vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.43-1.85vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.59-3.16vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.52-0.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-2.53vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.19-1.28vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-3.43vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-4.76vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-2.06vs Predicted
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16University of Saint Thomas-0.03-4.37vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.58-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Brown University1.7613.1%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University1.186.9%1st Place
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6.31Boston College1.3510.1%1st Place
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7.81University of South Florida1.196.8%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.3%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University1.188.6%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island0.122.3%1st Place
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6.15Tufts University1.439.7%1st Place
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5.84Yale University1.5911.5%1st Place
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9.29Clemson University0.524.2%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.785.5%1st Place
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10.72The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University0.464.5%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.2%1st Place
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12.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.8%1st Place
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11.63University of Saint Thomas-0.032.6%1st Place
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15.38Princeton University-1.580.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Crager | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 4.5% |
| Jack Flores | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Adams | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 16.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 6.2% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.