Race 1A

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Banholzer 34.9% 28.1% 17.5% 11.7% 4.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 20.0% 21.0% 19.0% 15.5% 10.5% 8.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 2.9% 3.1% 4.6% 5.0% 7.1% 11.0% 13.8% 15.8% 14.1% 14.6% 8.0%
Wesley Byrne 14.3% 15.3% 19.0% 15.9% 14.9% 9.5% 6.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Getchell 3.0% 3.2% 3.6% 5.1% 6.3% 9.6% 10.7% 13.6% 16.4% 17.1% 11.4%
Max Famiglietti 9.9% 12.2% 13.2% 16.7% 15.5% 11.9% 10.1% 6.1% 3.3% 0.6% 0.5%
Edwin Strong 3.9% 4.7% 4.2% 6.4% 10.7% 12.0% 14.5% 14.2% 13.8% 10.7% 4.9%
Ben Jassin 6.2% 6.1% 10.2% 13.2% 15.8% 12.6% 12.5% 11.9% 7.8% 2.8% 0.9%
David Rogers 2.7% 3.4% 3.3% 5.1% 5.9% 10.3% 13.0% 13.1% 16.4% 16.4% 10.4%
Jacqueline Taylor 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 3.2% 3.5% 4.7% 7.3% 11.6% 15.6% 49.7%
Roy Ingham 1.6% 2.0% 3.8% 4.1% 5.5% 8.2% 10.7% 13.2% 14.8% 21.9% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.