Race 4A

saisa-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Stocke 18.2% 21.5% 20.9% 14.8% 12.1% 6.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Banholzer 38.8% 25.3% 18.0% 10.0% 4.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Famiglietti 8.7% 12.4% 13.7% 14.0% 16.3% 13.2% 10.8% 6.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Wesley Byrne 14.0% 15.7% 18.3% 18.1% 13.4% 10.6% 5.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3%
Ben Jassin 6.4% 7.3% 8.7% 12.4% 12.0% 13.6% 14.1% 12.0% 7.5% 5.1% 0.9%
Roy Ingham 2.0% 1.2% 3.6% 3.5% 5.3% 7.9% 9.1% 12.7% 16.1% 22.1% 16.5%
Edwin Strong 3.5% 5.1% 4.2% 7.6% 10.5% 12.6% 12.3% 14.8% 14.2% 10.5% 4.7%
Marten Kendrick 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 6.5% 8.8% 12.0% 13.6% 14.4% 13.1% 13.3% 7.1%
Benjamin Getchell 2.1% 3.6% 3.4% 4.1% 6.0% 8.7% 11.9% 14.7% 16.4% 17.3% 11.8%
Jacqueline Taylor 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 3.0% 5.2% 7.8% 9.8% 15.6% 50.6%
David Rogers 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 7.3% 7.7% 9.8% 12.8% 12.7% 17.8% 15.0% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.