← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.49+2.26vs Predicted
-
2University of Florida2.84+2.43vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College3.24+0.83vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston4.11-1.63vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.28+0.59vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.07+2.16vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College1.32+0.46vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University1.66-1.20vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.75vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University0.23-0.52vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.38-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
-
4.43University of Florida2.840.1%1st Place
-
3.83Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
-
2.37College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
-
5.59University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
-
8.16Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
-
7.46Rollins College1.320.0%1st Place
-
6.8Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
7.25Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
-
9.48Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.35North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 18.4% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 14.4% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 35.3% | 27.1% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Roy Ingham | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
| Benjamin Getchell | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 9.6% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 8.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 50.0% |
| David Rogers | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.