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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.73+2.37vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.20-0.31vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46-0.92vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.92+0.87vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.58-0.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.96-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Roger Williams University0.7317.2%1st Place
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2.91Boston University1.0123.3%1st Place
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2.69University of Rhode Island1.2026.9%1st Place
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3.08Salve Regina University0.4620.6%1st Place
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5.87McGill University-0.922.5%1st Place
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5.37Northeastern University-0.584.9%1st Place
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5.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.673.5%1st Place
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7.17University of Connecticut-1.961.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cotoia | 17.2% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 23.3% | 22.2% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 26.9% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 20.6% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Liam Parnell | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 21.3% | 29.1% | 16.1% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 23.6% | 22.4% | 9.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 17.2% | 23.4% | 24.2% | 11.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.