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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.59+4.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.76+3.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.35+3.41vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+3.44vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+2.82vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.52+3.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+2.24vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46+1.62vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.18-1.78vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-1.07vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.43-4.98vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-0.03-0.38vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-2.02vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.02vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.58+0.46vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.19-5.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Yale University1.5911.7%1st Place
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5.03Brown University1.7614.2%1st Place
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6.41Boston College1.359.8%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University1.186.8%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida1.196.6%1st Place
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9.46Clemson University0.524.8%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.5%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University0.464.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University1.186.9%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.2%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University1.4310.5%1st Place
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11.62University of Saint Thomas-0.031.9%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island0.122.4%1st Place
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12.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.4%1st Place
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15.46Princeton University-1.580.4%1st Place
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10.88The Citadel0.192.9%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.786.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Luke Adams | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Jack Crager | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Jack Flores | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 7.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 16.0% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 61.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Joey Richardson | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.