← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.49+2.26vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.11+0.28vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College3.24+0.83vs Predicted
-
4University of Florida2.84+0.53vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.28+0.60vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University1.66+0.95vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.38+0.31vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.07+0.05vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.77vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University0.23-0.53vs Predicted
-
11Rollins College1.32-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
-
2.28College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
-
3.83Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
-
4.53University of Florida2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.6University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
-
6.95Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
7.31North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
-
8.05Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
-
7.23Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
-
9.47Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.49Rollins College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 17.6% | 22.1% | 21.0% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 39.3% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 13.4% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ben Jassin | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Edwin Strong | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| David Rogers | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 8.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 7.9% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 49.6% |
| Benjamin Getchell | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.