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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.20+1.65vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+0.99vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.16vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.92+1.89vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.58+0.42vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.73-2.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.96-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Rhode Island1.2027.2%1st Place
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2.99Boston University1.0121.1%1st Place
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3.16Salve Regina University0.4620.2%1st Place
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5.89McGill University-0.923.3%1st Place
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5.42Northeastern University-0.584.0%1st Place
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3.29Roger Williams University0.7318.4%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.674.5%1st Place
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7.14University of Connecticut-1.961.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 27.2% | 25.4% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 21.1% | 22.3% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 20.2% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Liam Parnell | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 28.7% | 17.3% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 23.0% | 22.5% | 10.4% |
| Peter Cotoia | 18.4% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 24.6% | 9.3% |
| Jack Sullivan | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.