Race 1B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tony Collins 11.1% 14.0% 11.7% 17.0% 19.3% 14.1% 8.1% 3.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Jake Reynolds 25.8% 22.9% 19.9% 13.9% 10.1% 5.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 4.0% 8.4% 10.6% 14.6% 21.2% 16.6% 11.2% 3.0%
Fernando Monllor 16.6% 15.6% 17.8% 17.7% 14.5% 9.0% 6.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
William Heausler 21.4% 20.1% 17.8% 17.6% 9.4% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 2.3% 3.6% 3.9% 5.2% 6.3% 14.2% 16.8% 17.1% 16.1% 10.9% 3.6%
Matthew Hecht 14.5% 14.3% 16.7% 14.9% 16.5% 11.1% 7.8% 2.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Joel Hurley 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 4.3% 7.2% 12.7% 15.9% 19.6% 21.9% 10.0%
Ian Nora 2.3% 3.5% 2.9% 4.7% 6.4% 11.9% 15.8% 17.2% 17.9% 12.5% 4.9%
Daniel Moore 1.0% 0.5% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 5.9% 8.6% 12.6% 17.4% 25.2% 21.8%
Paul Guntner 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 1.9% 2.5% 4.2% 6.1% 9.1% 17.6% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.