Race 2B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Reynolds 25.6% 22.0% 18.9% 17.1% 9.5% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 12.8% 13.2% 14.6% 17.0% 16.1% 13.8% 6.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1%
John Reddaway 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 4.9% 6.3% 11.6% 17.8% 17.3% 15.1% 13.5% 3.3%
Tony Collins 11.7% 12.0% 13.8% 14.6% 18.8% 13.9% 8.6% 4.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
William Heausler 21.1% 20.1% 18.6% 13.8% 12.5% 8.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Fernando Monllor 16.9% 18.5% 18.2% 15.4% 14.3% 9.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Daniel Moore 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 3.0% 1.7% 4.5% 9.0% 12.3% 17.9% 26.1% 20.6%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 5.9% 8.6% 12.1% 18.0% 17.1% 16.3% 9.6% 2.4%
Joel Hurley 1.7% 2.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.7% 7.2% 11.2% 15.2% 19.9% 21.8% 12.3%
Ian Nora 2.6% 2.7% 4.0% 5.5% 6.7% 11.7% 15.4% 19.2% 17.6% 10.8% 3.8%
Paul Guntner 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 1.8% 2.3% 3.4% 6.4% 9.1% 17.8% 57.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.