Race 3B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hugh Forester-Bennett 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 4.8% 8.2% 11.0% 18.1% 20.5% 17.2% 8.3% 3.7%
Jake Reynolds 26.6% 23.7% 18.0% 14.2% 9.5% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 11.5% 12.7% 15.3% 14.9% 17.4% 15.0% 7.0% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
William Heausler 19.8% 16.7% 21.0% 16.2% 13.7% 7.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Tony Collins 12.4% 14.2% 13.7% 16.9% 16.0% 12.2% 8.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.5% 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 6.9% 12.2% 18.2% 16.5% 15.5% 11.9% 3.5%
Fernando Monllor 19.1% 19.6% 16.4% 17.3% 13.3% 8.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Nora 2.6% 3.3% 3.4% 4.3% 6.6% 13.7% 17.1% 17.1% 15.5% 13.6% 2.8%
Joel Hurley 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 7.0% 9.1% 16.3% 21.6% 21.3% 12.0%
Daniel Moore 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 4.8% 9.2% 12.0% 16.1% 28.0% 20.2%
Cole Barclay 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 2.6% 3.6% 5.5% 10.3% 16.3% 57.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.