Race 4B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Reynolds 25.4% 23.0% 18.8% 14.1% 12.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 12.6% 14.3% 13.8% 18.0% 16.5% 10.4% 9.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Tony Collins 10.8% 11.9% 15.2% 14.8% 16.9% 15.2% 9.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 5.3% 7.1% 10.1% 17.5% 18.4% 18.4% 10.8% 3.5%
Fernando Monllor 18.6% 17.3% 17.7% 15.7% 13.3% 8.5% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
William Heausler 19.9% 21.6% 19.1% 15.6% 9.7% 8.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Nora 3.8% 2.8% 3.5% 5.2% 7.1% 11.4% 16.3% 19.3% 15.6% 10.9% 4.1%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.2% 3.1% 4.0% 5.4% 8.8% 15.2% 15.3% 17.2% 13.9% 11.6% 2.3%
Daniel Moore 1.2% 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 4.8% 6.7% 12.0% 17.8% 27.2% 22.5%
Joel Hurley 1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 4.7% 8.3% 10.0% 15.9% 22.4% 20.4% 10.2%
Cole Barclay 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.4% 8.6% 18.6% 57.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.