Race 5B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Fernando Monllor 15.2% 18.4% 16.7% 18.4% 15.2% 9.2% 4.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
William Heausler 21.6% 20.3% 17.9% 15.3% 12.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Nora 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 3.2% 6.3% 10.5% 14.3% 20.8% 16.2% 15.2% 3.8%
Jake Reynolds 25.1% 20.7% 20.8% 15.3% 9.8% 4.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tony Collins 13.0% 12.4% 14.1% 14.8% 16.3% 14.3% 9.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.6% 3.4% 3.6% 5.2% 6.0% 13.4% 16.7% 19.0% 15.6% 10.9% 3.6%
Matthew Hecht 13.9% 15.2% 14.7% 16.3% 15.9% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.2% 2.7% 3.7% 6.4% 7.6% 13.9% 17.5% 16.8% 16.3% 9.3% 2.6%
Paul Guntner 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 1.6% 1.7% 4.3% 4.8% 9.2% 14.4% 61.5%
Joel Hurley 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 4.2% 9.1% 10.5% 14.9% 20.8% 22.2% 9.8%
Daniel Moore 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 4.4% 5.1% 9.0% 12.3% 17.9% 27.4% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.