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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Reynolds 25.6% 23.3% 18.5% 16.1% 8.7% 5.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 13.5% 13.2% 14.4% 16.7% 15.3% 13.2% 8.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
William Heausler 18.9% 19.5% 18.0% 16.4% 13.5% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Collins 11.5% 13.6% 12.1% 16.2% 17.3% 14.2% 8.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Daniel Moore 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 4.4% 7.9% 12.4% 17.1% 26.0% 23.2%
Fernando Monllor 17.4% 18.0% 18.5% 15.0% 13.9% 8.2% 5.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 3.8% 3.6% 3.9% 5.4% 7.5% 13.0% 18.0% 17.3% 15.4% 9.2% 2.9%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.2% 2.4% 4.6% 4.7% 10.2% 12.0% 17.0% 17.2% 16.1% 10.8% 1.8%
Joel Hurley 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 2.0% 3.3% 7.7% 10.3% 15.7% 20.4% 21.8% 12.0%
Ian Nora 2.6% 2.8% 4.5% 4.9% 6.7% 10.3% 16.5% 18.6% 17.8% 11.8% 3.5%
Paul Guntner 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 3.0% 3.3% 5.1% 9.2% 19.8% 56.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.