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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of Florida3.41+0.34vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89+0.26vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.37+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.24-2.45vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.13vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.41-1.07vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University0.76-0.83vs Predicted
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10Rollins College1.27-2.82vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.48-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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4.09University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Florida3.410.2%1st Place
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4.26Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.8Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
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3.55University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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6.87Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.93Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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8.17Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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7.18Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.95North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 25.6% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 18.9% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Moore | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 26.0% | 23.2% |
| Fernando Monllor | 17.4% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 1.8% |
| Joel Hurley | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 21.8% | 12.0% |
| Ian Nora | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 3.5% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 19.8% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.