Race 7B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Reynolds 26.1% 23.2% 18.7% 13.6% 10.0% 6.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Collins 12.7% 13.0% 13.7% 16.3% 17.2% 12.8% 8.8% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
William Heausler 19.8% 17.2% 19.7% 17.3% 13.0% 7.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fernando Monllor 15.8% 16.2% 17.1% 18.1% 15.4% 8.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.2% 3.3% 4.0% 4.8% 8.5% 11.0% 16.3% 19.4% 15.4% 11.4% 2.7%
Daniel Moore 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 3.1% 4.7% 8.8% 11.8% 16.7% 27.2% 22.2%
John Reddaway 3.6% 4.1% 3.8% 4.9% 7.9% 13.9% 16.9% 17.4% 16.7% 7.4% 3.4%
Matthew Hecht 13.4% 15.5% 15.6% 15.1% 13.2% 15.3% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Joel Hurley 1.4% 2.7% 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 7.2% 10.6% 15.7% 19.8% 22.7% 12.0%
Ian Nora 2.7% 3.3% 3.6% 4.7% 6.4% 10.8% 18.0% 17.4% 17.6% 12.3% 3.2%
Cole Barclay 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 3.7% 6.0% 9.8% 18.4% 56.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.