Race 8B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Reynolds 26.0% 24.3% 17.8% 14.6% 10.0% 5.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Collins 12.0% 13.5% 14.7% 18.6% 13.3% 12.6% 9.5% 4.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 11.7% 12.2% 15.2% 14.5% 18.6% 14.2% 8.1% 4.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Fernando Monllor 16.3% 16.5% 17.0% 17.5% 16.0% 9.4% 4.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
William Heausler 22.4% 18.9% 19.2% 16.2% 10.9% 7.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 5.3% 6.9% 12.2% 16.4% 19.0% 15.3% 11.4% 3.6%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.7% 4.0% 3.3% 5.2% 8.6% 12.8% 17.7% 16.7% 15.9% 8.8% 3.3%
Daniel Moore 1.3% 0.7% 2.2% 1.1% 3.0% 4.7% 9.4% 13.4% 16.4% 26.8% 21.0%
Joel Hurley 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 7.3% 8.8% 15.4% 22.0% 21.8% 12.0%
Ian Nora 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 3.9% 7.3% 11.4% 17.5% 16.5% 18.1% 12.6% 3.1%
Cole Barclay 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 1.5% 2.9% 3.0% 6.4% 9.3% 18.0% 57.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.