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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.08vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.63+8.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.33+4.63vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.56+6.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.34+2.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.92-0.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+0.45vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.53+2.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.67vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71+0.18vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.48vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.48+2.58vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-4.61vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.61-3.95vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida4.10-6.72vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.57+0.35vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-9.07vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.4Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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10.61Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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10.52SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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14.58Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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8.28University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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16.35Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carl Shorett | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Robert Vann | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Harry Scott | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 23.5% |
| Sam Williams | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 17.5% | 58.7% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Gary Herring | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.