← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+8.16vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.46+7.49vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.76+2.23vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.19+3.81vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+3.29vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.18+1.14vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.18+0.49vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.43-1.82vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.35-2.55vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.59-4.29vs Predicted
-
11University of Saint Thomas-0.03+0.62vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.52-2.48vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-4.13vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.12-3.20vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.89vs Predicted
-
16The Citadel0.19-5.19vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-1.58-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.3%1st Place
-
9.49Salve Regina University0.464.3%1st Place
-
5.23Brown University1.7613.1%1st Place
-
7.81University of South Florida1.196.3%1st Place
-
8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.786.2%1st Place
-
7.14Roger Williams University1.187.9%1st Place
-
7.49Northeastern University1.188.0%1st Place
-
6.18Tufts University1.439.8%1st Place
-
6.45Boston College1.359.6%1st Place
-
5.71Yale University1.5910.5%1st Place
-
11.62University of Saint Thomas-0.032.5%1st Place
-
9.52Clemson University0.524.2%1st Place
-
8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.5%1st Place
-
10.8University of Rhode Island0.123.2%1st Place
-
13.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.1%1st Place
-
10.81The Citadel0.192.9%1st Place
-
15.32Princeton University-1.580.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Marsh | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| James Brock | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Joey Richardson | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Crager | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Flores | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 6.9% |
| Luke Adams | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 23.8% | 15.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.