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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+2.07vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+4.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.24-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Florida3.41-1.75vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.89-1.86vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.37+1.69vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.41-1.09vs Predicted
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9Rollins College1.27-1.71vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.76-1.91vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.48-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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4.07University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.12Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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3.64University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Florida3.410.2%1st Place
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4.14Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.69Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.91Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.29Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.09Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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9.93North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 25.4% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.8% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Fernando Monllor | 16.3% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 21.8% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Moore | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 26.6% | 20.5% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Ian Nora | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Joel Hurley | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 10.1% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.