← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.65+1.83vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.93+2.05vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.89+1.27vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida3.24-0.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida3.41-1.82vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University1.41+1.05vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.13vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.37+0.77vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College1.27-1.68vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University0.76-1.88vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University-0.48-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
-
4.05University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
4.27Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
-
3.62University of South Florida3.240.2%1st Place
-
3.18University of Florida3.410.2%1st Place
-
7.05Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
-
6.87Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
8.77Jacksonville University0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.32Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.12Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.93North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 25.5% | 25.5% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 11.6% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 16.5% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 22.5% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| John Reddaway | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Daniel Moore | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 26.8% | 20.6% |
| Ian Nora | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Joel Hurley | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 23.1% | 9.8% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.