Race 11B

saisa-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tony Collins 11.3% 12.8% 14.0% 16.4% 18.2% 13.6% 8.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
William Heausler 21.1% 21.2% 17.8% 16.5% 10.0% 9.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Reynolds 23.9% 23.3% 19.1% 14.5% 11.1% 5.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Fernando Monllor 17.8% 14.4% 19.4% 16.2% 14.6% 9.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 13.5% 14.1% 14.4% 15.6% 16.0% 12.9% 7.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.4% 6.2% 11.7% 18.4% 17.3% 15.5% 11.2% 3.9%
John Reddaway 3.8% 3.9% 3.7% 5.0% 9.2% 13.3% 15.9% 17.5% 16.4% 8.4% 2.9%
Joel Hurley 1.9% 1.3% 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 7.2% 12.5% 15.6% 19.4% 22.8% 10.1%
Ian Nora 2.5% 3.9% 3.2% 4.0% 5.9% 11.0% 14.2% 20.2% 18.1% 11.7% 5.3%
Daniel Moore 0.8% 1.5% 1.2% 2.7% 3.4% 3.9% 9.1% 11.8% 17.1% 27.3% 21.2%
Cole Barclay 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 0.6% 1.6% 2.6% 3.1% 6.5% 9.7% 17.8% 56.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.